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President Trump speaks during a roundtable with automaker CEOs at the White House in 2018. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)

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President Trump is advancing a new tax cut package. Don’t apprehend it to ascertain 2020.

The Trump administering and Republican assembly are in the aboriginal stages of autograph a new set of proposed tax cuts, acquisitive to bolster the president’s bread-and-butter bulletin advanced of the 2020 presidential campaign, as I appear bygone with my colleagues Erica Werner and Josh Dawsey.

But it is far from bright whether “tax cut 2.0” will comedy a allusive role in the 2020 election, as Republicans are still disturbing to altercate the accessible of the claim of the GOP’s tax cut 1.0.

Republicans had aerial hopes for their aboriginal tax amalgamation aback it was accustomed almost by Congress and active into law by Trump at the end of 2017. 

The law, which had been discussed for years by bourgeois account wonks such as then-House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), represented the better check of the nation’s tax cipher in several decades. It bargain taxes for corporations from 35 percent to 21 percent; adapted the nation’s all-embracing tax system; and broadcast a cardinal of tax deductions and credits, amid added changes. 

But the party’s advance for a additional annular of tax cuts is alone the latest assurance their aboriginal one may accept not yielded the political asset Republicans hoped. GOP aldermanic candidates in the 2018 midterm elections abundantly chose not to highlight the $1.5 abundance tax law they accustomed at the end of 2017, instead absorption on issues such as clearing and crime. 

The Wesleyan Media Project activate bloom care, jobs and clearing all came up in added pro-GOP television advertisements than the tax law. And there’s affirmation the tax affair does not do that abundant to applesauce up the GOP base: Polling advanced of the midterms by Reuters activate Republican voters admired clearing — rather than taxes or alike the abridgement added about — as the “most important” issue. 

“Tax cut messaging was not a big agency for Republicans in 2018,” said Kyle Kondik, a political analyst with the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics. “And I agnosticism it will be in 2020.”

Republicans still altercate their plan helped animate business spending and would accept done added to abstract bread-and-butter advance afterwards the U.S.-China barter war. But at atomic so far, the legislation has abundantly bootless to appear as a arch affairs point of its Republican authors. 

Larry Kudlow, the president’s top economist and a aloft television commentator, apparently is aiming to change that with the new tax cut plan. Kudlow has been broke to advance the accomplishment surrounding the new set of tax proposals, but the capacity abide unclear. 

Rep. Kevin Brady (R-Tex.) speaks to the media afterwards the House anesthetized the tax bill in December 2017. (Photo by Matt McClain/The Washington Post)

What could be in the new package? Rep. Kevin Brady (R-Tex.), the top Republican on the tax-writing House Ways and Means Committee, said the key will be to accomplish abiding some of the accoutrement in the 2017 law that are set to expire, such as the access in adolescent tax credits.

“We are accepting those discussions with the White House, we’ll be agreeable with them further, and we’ll accept discussions with Republicans, too, in the House about what we anticipate the best pro-growth elements can be the best pro-innovation,” Brady said.

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Republicans could additionally try blame a plan to lower taxes on basic assets — an abstraction advantaged by Kudlow but not included in the 2017 law — or advance the accumulated amount alike lower, said Michael Linden, a tax able at the Roosevelt Institute, a left-leaning anticipate catchbasin analytical of the GOP law. The White House has additionally floated a amount tax cut, although that accomplishment was afterwards disqualified out.

“They’re a one-trick pony, so they accumulate advancing aback to the aforementioned thing: ‘I assumption we didn’t get acclaim for the aboriginal bad tax bill, so we’re action to try another,’” Linden said.

CORRECTION: Yesterday’s agenda quoted Federal Reseve administrator Jerome Powell as adage the Fed “does not see any affirmation that business advance will abate further.” In fact, he said the axial coffer doesn’t “see any affirmation of that” in acknowledgment to a catechism about whether the accretion will abate further. 

You are account The Finance 202, our must-read tipsheet on area Wall Street meets Washington.

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Traders assignment on the attic at the New York Banal Exchange (NYSE) on Thursday. (Brendan McDermid/Reuters)

— Stocks abatement as barter worries bedew banderole week: “October salvaged its acceptability as one of the best adverse months for investors. All three aloft U.S. banal indexes slid on Thursday, the aftermost day of the month. The declines batty a anniversary of record-breaking assets powered by accidentally able balance and yet addition absorption amount cut, address of the Federal Reserve,” my colleagues Taylor Telford and Thomas Heath report.

Where aggregate closed: 

But balance are abatement fears — for now: “Investors are breath sighs of abatement that accumulated profits haven’t waned as abundant as feared, giving new action to a stock-market assemblage that had abundantly adjourned aback the summer,” the WSJ’s Gunjan Banerji reports.

“Although balance are on clue to abatement for the third afterwards quarter, about 75% of the 342 companies in the S&P 500 that accept acquaint after-effects through Thursday morning accept baffled expectations, according to FactSet. That is hardly aloft the five-year boilerplate of 72%. Dozens of companies address through the end of the week.”

— Don’t aloof attending at the new job numbers today: “An amend on accomplishment action Friday could accommodate a abundant added advantageous account of the abridgement than the October application report, which is accepted to be almighty anemic due to the General Motors strike,” CNBC’s Patti Domm reports.

“ISM accomplishment abstracts is accepted to appearance a abbreviating in action in October, for a third ages in a row. Accomplishment has been at the affection of the economy’s sluggishness, with a bead in business advance a big acumen for the third quarter’s apathetic 1.9% advance pace.”

Households added spending branch into the fourth quarter, suggesting consumers accept connected to advice prop up U.S. bread-and-butter growth.

WSJ

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For decades, the axial coffer has aloft ante to bouncer adjoin advancing amount increases. Now, it seems to be adopting that hurdle.

NYT

TRADE FLY-AROUND:

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (R-Calif). (Michael Reynolds/EPA-EFE) 

— Pelosi says House is abutting to acknowledging USMCA: “The House is on a ‘path to yes,’ House Speaker Nancy Pelosi said about acknowledging the agreement, which was active about a year ago, abacus that her chamber’s analysis into whether Trump should be accusable has ‘nothing to do’ with its assignment on the agreement,” Reuters’s Patricia Zengerle and Andrea Shalal report.

Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing two years ago. (Qilai Shen/Bloomberg)

— Trump: U.S., China look for new area to assurance mini-trade agreement. WSJ’s Andrew Restuccia: “Trump said China and the U.S. are in the action of selecting a new armpit to assurance what he has alleged appearance one of a broader barter acceding amid the two countries. Mr. Trump had hoped to ink the accord during a November acme of nations from the Asia-Pacific Bread-and-butter Cooperation accumulation in Chile. But Chilean President Sebastian Piñera appear on Wednesday that the affair had been canceled amid addition protests in the basic burghal of Santiago. ‘The new area will be appear soon,’ Mr. Trump wrote on Twitter on Thursday. ‘President Xi and President Trump will do signing!'”

Xi shores up support. WSJ’s Chun Han Wong and Philip Wen: “Chinese President Xi Jinping emerged from a Communist Party assembly with a adamant endorsement of his leadership, admitting a slowing economy, a able-bodied barter war with the U.S. and agitation in Hong Kong. The party’s administering Axial Committee additionally signaled a firmer attitude on Hong Kong, calling for stronger safeguards for China’s civic aegis in the city—a conception that some experts say foreshadows new acknowledged admiral to squelch bone adjoin Beijing’s authority.”

Meanwhile, the U.S. is disturbing to bolt up on 5G: “Chinese cellphone carriers will activate alms super-fast, next-generation 5G account on a bartering abject on Friday, a development that the cardinal Communist Party says will absolve a abstruse revolution,” my colleagues Anna Fifield and Wang Yuan report.

“With this anniversary and aggressive acceptance targets, Chinese authorities are sending a bulletin to the United States that they will not acquiesce the country’s automated development — abnormally that of tech titan Huawei — to be balked … To call the aberration in speeds, analysts say that 4G is like a skateboard while 5G is like a rocket ship, presenting a huge advantage for applications such as video gaming and alive services. Added than 10 actor subscribers accept responded to bargain deals and preregistered for the service, according to accompaniment media.”

The logos of Peugeot and Fiat. (Christopher Pike/Bloomberg News)

— Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot will be the world’s No. 4 automaker: “Fiat Chrysler and Peugeot buyer PSA plan to accompany armament in a 50-50 allotment alliance to actualize the world’s fourth-largest automaker, gluttonous calibration to cope with cher new technologies and slowing all-around demand,” Reuters’s Giulio Piovaccari and Geert De Clercq report.

“The companies said … they aimed to ability a bounden accord in the advancing weeks to actualize a $50 billion accumulation with listings in Paris, Milan and New York. PSA’s Carlos Tavares would be CEO and Fiat Chrysler’s (FCA) John Elkann chairman. It was beneath than bristles months ago that FCA alone alliance talks with PSA’s French battling Renault, and the move comes as carmakers attack with a abatement in their markets as able-bodied as ample investments in electric and self-driving vehicles.”

— Ex-WeWork CEO accused of gender discrimination: “Adam Neumann now faces a new acknowledged claiming alike afterwards actuality ousted as CEO from WeWork,” CNBC’s Lauren Feiner and William Feuer report.

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“Neumann’s aloft arch of agents is suing The We Aggregation for allegedly comestible a abundant gender pay gap, smoker marijuana in advanced of her and acute adjoin her and added women for acceptable abundant and demography maternology leave, amid added allegations. The complaint, which was filed Thursday, alleges that aloft WeWork agent Medina Bardhi accustomed decidedly lower pay than her macho peers.

— Ford affairs to abutting Michigan bulb afterwards UAW deal: “Ford Motor Co affairs to abutting an agent bulb in Romeo, Michigan, as allotment of a acting acceding with the United Auto Workers abutment for a new four-year contract, a antecedent told Reuters,” Reuters’s David Shepardson reports.

“The 600 alternate workers at the bulb will be offered jobs at a adjacent manual bulb or buyouts, a antecedent said. The UAW said Wednesday the Ford accord ‘secured over $6 billion in aloft artefact investments in American facilities, creating and application over 8,500 jobs for our communities.’ Ford will abutting the bulb in the approaching beneath the UAW agreement. Ford and the UAW beneath to comment.”

The afflicted German coffer alerted federal authorities to a transaction in which it awash a pale in a California appointment circuitous to a aggregation affiliated to the son of a aloft Kremlin official.

NYT

Billionaire barrier armamentarium administrator Leon Cooperman. (Christopher Goodney/Bloomberg)

— Billionaire Leon Cooperman accomplish up his action with Elizabeth Warren. NYT’s Kate Kelly and Shane Goldmacher: Escalating the war of words amid Wall Street and Senator Elizabeth Warren, Leon Cooperman, a billionaire money manager, denounced her recent tweet encouraging him to “pitch in a bit more” because of his success in life, adage she articulate like ‘a ancestor accusation an careless child.’

“’However abundant it resonates with your base, your blame of the affluent is misguided,’ wrote Mr. Cooperman, the billionaire administrator of the Omega Family Office, in an Oct. 30 letter fabricated accessible on Thursday. ‘For you to advance that commercialism is a bedraggled chat and that these people, as a group, are ingrates who didn’t acquire their abundance … and now don’t cull their weight societally indicates that you either are grossly apprenticed or are advisedly warping the facts.'”

Warren took to Twitter to respond: 

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. (Patrick T. Fallon/Bloomberg)

— Treasury to affluence rules adjoin inversions. NYT’s Jim Tankersley: “The Treasury Department said on Thursday that it was rolling aback regulations issued beneath the Obama administration that were allowable to anticipate American companies from affective their official abode away to abate their tax bills. The regulations are no best necessary, Trump administering admiral say, because of changes fabricated in the tax check that [Trump] active in 2017. The changes bargain taxes on American companies and included accoutrement meant to abash these alleged inversions.”

Today:

From The Post’s Tom Toles:

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